American Heart Journal
Volume 152, Issue 1 , Pages 11-18, July 2006

The 12-lead electrocardiogram as a predictive tool of mortality after acute myocardial infarction: Current status in an era of revascularization and reperfusion

  • Mircea Petrina, MD

      Affiliations

    • University of Michigan Medical Center, Ann Arbor, MI
    • University of Illinois at Chicago Michael Reese Hospital Program, Chicago, IL
    • Corresponding Author InformationReprint requests: Mircea Petrina, MD, Department of Cardiology, Michael Reese Hospital, 2929 South Ellis Avenue, Chicago, IL 60616.
  • ,
  • Shaun G. Goodman, MD, MSc

      Affiliations

    • University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
    • Canadian Heart Research Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
    • St Michael's Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
  • ,
  • Kim A. Eagle, MD, FACC

      Affiliations

    • University of Michigan Medical Center, Ann Arbor, MI

Received 5 April 2005; accepted 11 November 2005.

Many recently published studies established the admission electrocardiogram as an excellent source of prognostic information in patients presenting with acute myocardial infarction. Using our search criteria, we identified a large number of articles but selected only the most relevant in each category. The best predictors of increased short-term mortality are ventricular tachycardia (odds ratio [OR] 6.1, 95% CI 4.6-8.3), ST-segment deviations (OR 5.1, 95% CI 4.6-8.3), high-degree atrioventricular block (OR 5.1, 95% CI 2.1-11.9), and long QRS duration (OR 4.2, 95% CI 1.8-10.4). For increased long-term mortality, the best predictors were ST-segment depression (OR 5.7, 95% CI 2.8-11.6), ST-segment elevation (OR 3.3, 95% CI 2.1-5.1), and left bundle-branch block (OR 2.8, 95% CI 1.8-4.3). In addition, our review discusses electrocardiographic markers of poor outcome that were not independent risk factors on multivariate analysis, conflicting findings, and knowledge gaps that can help plan future research efforts.

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PII: S0002-8703(05)01014-8

doi:10.1016/j.ahj.2005.11.007

American Heart Journal
Volume 152, Issue 1 , Pages 11-18, July 2006